Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.183817 0.206036 0.229225 0.255176 0.283352 0.312961 0.346371
2025-02-09 0.154185 0.184397 0.217468 0.256164 0.300002 0.347927 0.404079
2025-02-16 0.134842 0.170550 0.211255 0.260680 0.318642 0.384030 0.462924
2025-02-23 0.121916 0.162040 0.209432 0.268832 0.340545 0.423575 0.526176
2025-03-02 0.106558 0.148676 0.200164 0.266674 0.349181 0.447019 0.570567
2025-03-09 0.094996 0.138668 0.193772 0.266922 0.359884 0.472457 0.617309
2025-03-16 0.084587 0.129002 0.186770 0.265456 0.367728 0.493983 0.659241
2025-03-23 0.078392 0.124292 0.185608 0.271007 0.384160 0.526143 0.714665
2025-03-30 0.071051 0.117249 0.180663 0.270987 0.392972 0.548508 0.757926
2025-04-06 0.064499 0.110693 0.175797 0.270541 0.400829 0.569467 0.799488
2025-04-13 0.058663 0.104636 0.171117 0.269883 0.408056 0.589450 0.839891
2025-04-20 0.054433 0.100621 0.169011 0.272532 0.419609 0.615140 0.888006
2025-04-27 0.051789 0.099025 0.170535 0.280676 0.439395 0.652840 0.953613
2025-05-04 0.047574 0.094519 0.167378 0.281782 0.449234 0.677264 1.001993
2025-05-11 0.044664 0.091898 0.166879 0.286666 0.464438 0.709208 1.061004
2025-05-18 0.042881 0.091027 0.168995 0.295451 0.485387 0.749404 1.131874
2025-05-25 0.038897 0.085926 0.164034 0.293135 0.489956 0.766770 1.171684
2025-06-01 0.035807 0.082131 0.160906 0.293405 0.498179 0.789265 1.218799
2025-06-08 0.032660 0.077918 0.156783 0.291829 0.503450 0.807516 1.260157
2025-06-15 0.031107 0.076596 0.157426 0.297804 0.520175 0.842368 1.325264
2025-06-22 0.028683 0.073325 0.154489 0.297783 0.527631 0.863866 1.371736
2025-06-29 0.026394 0.070095 0.151397 0.297303 0.534250 0.884146 1.416671
2025-07-06 0.024267 0.066975 0.148287 0.296595 0.540384 0.903708 1.460763